Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.203339 0.236038 0.272347 0.315663 0.365952 0.422524 0.491035
2025-05-11 0.151176 0.194492 0.247745 0.318082 0.408657 0.521538 0.673195
2025-05-18 0.121552 0.167813 0.228804 0.315209 0.434713 0.594561 0.825319
2025-05-25 0.099445 0.145393 0.209512 0.305682 0.446668 0.646450 0.952317
2025-06-01 0.088054 0.135305 0.204574 0.313753 0.482130 0.733024 1.137356
2025-06-08 0.077472 0.124441 0.196390 0.314929 0.506208 0.804330 1.307350
2025-06-15 0.069911 0.116931 0.191905 0.320531 0.536862 0.888179 1.506438
2025-06-22 0.061247 0.106321 0.180891 0.313682 0.545700 0.937053 1.653046
2025-06-29 0.054715 0.098343 0.173054 0.310823 0.560299 0.996328 1.823690
2025-07-06 0.049938 0.092753 0.168500 0.312865 0.583275 1.072060 2.032139
2025-07-13 0.047659 0.091342 0.171069 0.327896 0.631312 1.197722 2.347760
2025-07-20 0.045037 0.088929 0.171445 0.338707 0.672441 1.314867 2.661117
2025-07-27 0.042305 0.086059 0.170782 0.347751 0.711904 1.434742 2.998189
2025-08-03 0.039092 0.081849 0.167048 0.350273 0.738741 1.533181 3.305162
2025-08-10 0.035672 0.076778 0.160958 0.347108 0.753242 1.607872 3.571141
2025-08-17 0.031968 0.070643 0.151949 0.336606 0.750685 1.646208 3.762433
2025-08-24 0.030363 0.068858 0.151896 0.345503 0.791531 1.782499 4.190461
2025-08-31 0.028287 0.065766 0.148638 0.346799 0.815326 1.883627 4.550129
2025-09-07 0.026775 0.063777 0.147587 0.352975 0.851028 2.015714 4.999910
2025-09-14 0.024444 0.059589 0.141046 0.345425 0.853187 2.069692 5.265936
2025-09-21 0.022630 0.056431 0.136555 0.342273 0.865622 2.149553 5.606973
2025-09-28 0.021311 0.054333 0.134361 0.344524 0.891771 2.265956 6.056979
2025-10-05 0.020905 0.054486 0.137673 0.361093 0.956486 2.486605 6.810670